Simón Levy Es Posible
Simón Levy Washington D.C. November 10, 2026 Interactive investigation Cónsul → ESEN
Engraved map of the border with portraits of the four Democratic governors: Xavier Becerra (California), Katie Hobbs (Arizona), Deb Haaland (New Mexico) and Gina Hinojosa (Texas)
Interactive investigation · U.S.-Mexico border

The Blue
Border

All four states that touch Mexico are now Democratic. Morena wants to own the photo

Plate I · Becerra, Hobbs, Haaland and Hinojosa. 1,954 miles of border now governed on the U.S. side by four Democrats, starting in January.
Did you know?

Morena, Mexico's ruling party, has an office for Mexicans abroad. It has been run by Alejandro Robles since 2024.

An America First Policy Institute paper dated October 15, 2026 calls for applying the Foreign Agents Registration Act to Morena and zero tolerance for partisan use of Mexico's consular network.

Source: America First Policy Institute, Mexico’s Regime in the United States, Oct. 15, 2026.

Texas had gone 31 years without a Democratic governor. Now it has one.

With her, all four states that touch Mexico are the same color, and Mexico's presidential palace celebrated the next morning.

This is not an article to read straight through. It is a model that moves with you: you turn the map, touch every piece and, in the simulator, make six decisions as if you governed Texas. At the end you see, in numbers, where Morena's bet on the border wins and where it loses.

Simón Levy · Washington D.C. · November 10, 2026
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The model is the articleScroll slowly: the model builds with each card. Drag it to turn it
The line
California Arizona New Mexico Texas Baja California Sonora Chihuahua Coahuila Nuevo León Tamaulipas Becerra 64% Hobbs 55.6% Haaland 57.2% Hinojosa 52.8% Morena Morena PAN PRI MC Morena Mexican Consulate in Sacramento Mexican Consulate in San Francisco Mexican Consulate in San Jose Mexican Consulate in Fresno Mexican Consulate in Oxnard Mexican Consulate in Los Angeles Mexican Consulate in San Bernardino Mexican Consulate in Santa Ana Mexican Consulate in San Diego Mexican Consulate in Calexico Mexican Consulate in Yuma Mexican Consulate in Phoenix Mexican Consulate in Tucson Mexican Consulate in Nogales Mexican Consulate in Douglas Mexican Consulate in Albuquerque Mexican Consulate in El Paso Mexican Consulate in Presidio Mexican Consulate in Del Rio Mexican Consulate in Eagle Pass Mexican Consulate in Laredo Mexican Consulate in McAllen Mexican Consulate in Brownsville Mexican Consulate in San Antonio Mexican Consulate in Austin Mexican Consulate in Houston Mexican Consulate in Dallas Laredo $35.29B El Paso $12.09B Otay Mesa $4.99B Eagle Pass $4.15B
01 · The line

1,954 miles, ten governments

From the Pacific to the Gulf. Four states on one side, six on the other.

Almost everything Mexico sells the world crosses here. Almost everything Washington demands from Mexico, too.

02 · The night of November 3

Four for four

52.8%Hinojosa in Texas

Gina Hinojosa ousted Greg Abbott, who was seeking a fourth term and spent $180 million on his campaign.

Xavier Becerra won California with about 64%. Katie Hobbs was reelected in Arizona with 55.6%. Deb Haaland won New Mexico with 57.2%.

AP and state election counts as of November 9. California, Arizona and New Mexico are still counting.

03 · The river

The border flipped Texas

Thirteen Texas counties touch the Rio Grande. In 2024 Trump won eleven. In 2026 Hinojosa won ten.

In Hidalgo County the swing was 45 points in two years. In Starr, 65.

2024: official county results. 2026: provisional county count as of November 9. Tap a county on the map.

04 · On the other side

Six states, three run by Morena

Baja California, Sonora and Tamaulipas are governed by Morena. Chihuahua belongs to the PAN, Coahuila to the PRI and Nuevo León to Movimiento Ciudadano.

Until now, these governors' counterpart in Texas was Abbott. Starting in January, it is someone else.

05 · The crossover nobody is watching

In seven months the other side votes

4 of 6

On June 6, 2027 Mexico elects governors in Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua and Nuevo León.

If Morena keeps its states and wins one more, the border ends up with eight of ten governments aligned with each other. That is the bet.

INE (Mexico's electoral authority), 2026-2027 election process. The reading is Simón Levy's analysis.

06 · The network

27 of 53 consulates

51%

More than half of Mexico's consular network in the United States sits in these four states: 11 in Texas, 10 in California, 5 in Arizona and 1 in New Mexico.

The State Department has been reviewing all 53 since May. And on June 6 the designated consulates will serve as polling places.

Mexican Foreign Ministry directory. State Department review reported in May 2026.

07 · What did not change

The strip still belongs to Washington

No governor commands the Border Patrol, ICE or the Pentagon.

Since 2025 the military has run National Defense Areas along the line. There are six now, across all four states. Two of them cover about 420 miles of the Rio Grande.

Stars and Stripes and Defense One, February 2026.

08 · The money

What really crosses

$872.8billion in 2025

That is U.S.-Mexico trade. Laredo alone handled $353.94 billion.

That is the agenda that unites the ten governors. The political photo is something else.

Circles: trade with Mexico by port in May 2026, Census Bureau data analyzed by WorldCity.

This investigation is still open

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